TTP
TheTruthPicks

The full record.

Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded from the official box score. Wins and losses. Nothing gets deleted. 0 picks waiting on tonight's games.

Profit
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Record
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ROI
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Win rate
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Units staked
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Profit over time

Running total in units, one point per night.

By market

Graded picks only.

MarketWLUnitsROI

Every pick

Newest first. Odds are the price available when posted. Stakes in units.

DatePostedGamePlayerPickOddsStakeResultUnits

How the picks are made

A data model prices player props across 8+ bookmakers, strips out the bookmaker margin to find the fair odds, and only flags a bet when a price beats the fair line and the projections agree. It factors in form, minutes, matchups, injuries, pace and schedule.

Stakes scale with the size of the edge. Losing nights stay on the record with the winning ones. Judge it over hundreds of picks, not a few nights.